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Shocking or not, the Department of Transportation has performed an unprecedented public service with these latest cost estimates. It is a much-needed dose of fiscal reality. The department offered realistic cost-range estimates.
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Seattle Post-Intelligencer Opinion June 9, 2002
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Transportation Risk and Uncertainty Evaluation is a peer review
of project scope, cost, schedule, and risk using an established process, developed by our experienced
senior engineers, to validate true cost and schedule of any transportation project. Working directly with your staff, in a flexible
workshop environment, we collectively validate cost, schedule and risk to produce a probabilistic
range of escalated cost and schedule.
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A project’s true cost is composed of three components:
- known costs that can be quantified,
- known costs that can not be quantified (engineer’s allowance),
- unknown costs (contingency).
The Transportation Risk and Uncertainty Evaluation confirms the known costs and, using a
verifiable approach, scientifically analyzes unknown costs using probabilistic analysis of
project specific risk and uncertainty. By similarly analyzing the schedule and considering likely escalation
rates, the uncertainties in schedule and in escalated costs are also determined. Other project
elements - such as cash flow, safety and reliability - can be analyzed in a similar way.
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| July 2003 |
| TRUE completed for Pittsburgh North Shore Connector Transit Project |
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| July 2003 |
| WSDOT updates CEVP™ for its megaprojects |
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| May 2003 |
| TRUE completed for Port of Seattle's Third Runway expansion |
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