" Shocking or not, the Department of Transportation has performed an unprecedented public service with these latest cost estimates. It is a much-needed dose of fiscal reality. The department offered realistic cost-range estimates. "
Seattle Post-Intelligencer Opinion
June 9, 2002
 

TRUE Collaborative Team:

Transportation Risk and Uncertainty Evaluation is a peer review of project scope, cost, schedule, and risk using an established process, developed by our experienced senior engineers, to validate true cost and schedule of any transportation project. Working directly with your staff, in a flexible workshop environment, we collectively validate cost, schedule and risk to produce a probabilistic range of escalated cost and schedule.

A project’s true cost is composed of three components:

  1. known costs that can be quantified,
  2. known costs that can not be quantified (engineer’s allowance),
  3. unknown costs (contingency).

The Transportation Risk and Uncertainty Evaluation confirms the known costs and, using a verifiable approach, scientifically analyzes unknown costs using probabilistic analysis of project specific risk and uncertainty. By similarly analyzing the schedule and considering likely escalation rates, the uncertainties in schedule and in escalated costs are also determined. Other project elements - such as cash flow, safety and reliability - can be analyzed in a similar way.

NEWS
July 2003
TRUE completed for Pittsburgh North Shore Connector Transit Project

July 2003
WSDOT updates CEVP™ for its megaprojects

May 2003
TRUE completed for Port of Seattle's Third Runway expansion
 
PRESENTATIONS
Overview of TRUE-CEVP Methodology
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(c) Golder Associates 2002, 2003, 2004